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Mexico to Propose 16-Year USMCA Extension on July 1: Ebrard

Mexico will seek a 16-year extension of the USMCA starting July 1. The energy chapter defines the investment conditions for electricity and natural gas.

Por REDACCIÓN THE WATT · 24 jun 2026 · 2 MIN READ
Flags of Mexico, the United States, and Canada at a USMCA negotiating table
Imagen generada con inteligencia artificial

The Mexican government will formally propose extending the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) by 16 additional years at the virtual trilateral meeting called for July 1, 2026, Economy Secretary Marcelo Ebrard announced on June 23. President Claudia Sheinbaum will sign the letter formalizing Mexico's position.

Under USMCA rules, the three governments must communicate on that date whether they support extending the agreement. "Your worst-case scenario is that it continues for 10 years," Ebrard stated, noting that no country had submitted the six-month notice required to formally initiate withdrawal. Mexico decided to advance conversations with the United States to reduce uncertainty and protect national interests, the secretary explained. The treaty's energy chapter, which defines the conditions for participation by U.S. and Canadian companies in Mexico's electricity sector and establishes disciplines for state-owned enterprises such as Pemex and the Federal Electricity Commission (CFE), will be one of the central topics of the review.

The USMCA, in force since July 2020, includes provisions guaranteeing market access in Mexico's energy sector and establishing disciplines for state-owned enterprises. Cross-border natural gas trade, flowing through pipeline networks from the United States, and investment conditions for electricity generation depend on the framework that emerges from the review. Ebrard cited the complexity of the negotiations, noting that discussions on steel products for technologies such as robots and drones took several hours, anticipating an equally detailed process for the sectoral chapters, including the energy chapter. The next negotiating round is scheduled for July 20 on Mexican soil.

The outcome of this process will define the conditions under which energy investment flows between North America and Mexico over the coming decade. The July 1 meeting formally activates the review mechanism; the July 20 round in Mexico will mark the start of substantive chapter-by-chapter discussions.

This article was drafted with the assistance of artificial intelligence based on verified sources and reviewed by a human editor before publication.

This article was drafted with AI assistance from verified sources and reviewed by a human editor before publication.

Frequently asked questions

¿Qué propuso México para la revisión del T-MEC en julio de 2026?
El secretario de Economía, Marcelo Ebrard, anunció el 23 de junio que México propondrá formalmente extender el T-MEC por 16 años adicionales durante la reunión trilateral virtual del 1 de julio de 2026.
¿Qué pasa si no se logra la extensión del T-MEC por 16 años?
Si algún país no respalda la extensión, el tratado continúa vigente por 10 años más con revisiones anuales, sin desaparecer ni perder validez. Ebrard calificó este como el peor escenario posible.
¿Qué implica el capítulo energético en la revisión del T-MEC?
El capítulo energético define las condiciones de participación de empresas estadounidenses y canadienses en el sector eléctrico mexicano, las disciplinas para empresas estatales como Pemex y CFE, y el marco de inversión en gas natural y energías renovables.
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